Oops, you're using an old version of your browser so some of the features on this page may not be displaying properly.

MINIMAL Requirements: Google Chrome 24+Mozilla Firefox 20+Internet Explorer 11Opera 15–18Apple Safari 7SeaMonkey 2.15-2.23

Poster session 13

2016P - Evaluation of event-free survival (EFS) as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival (OS) in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) following neoadjuvant (NAD) therapy

Date

14 Sep 2024

Session

Poster session 13

Topics

Tumour Site

Urothelial Cancer

Presenters

Cora Sternberg

Citation

Annals of Oncology (2024) 35 (suppl_2): S1135-S1169. 10.1016/annonc/annonc1616

Authors

C.N. Sternberg1, P.J. Squires2, Y. Song3, A. Wu4, Y. Gao3, C. Xu4, R. Kataria5, H. Li6

Author affiliations

  • 1 Division Of Hematology And Oncology, Weill Cornell Medicine - Belfer Research Building, 10021 - New York/US
  • 2 Core, Merck & Co. Inc., 19454 - North Wales/US
  • 3 Heor, Analysis Group, Inc., 02199 - Boston/US
  • 4 Heor, Analysis Group, Inc., 90071 - Los Angeles/US
  • 5 Department Of Clinical Research, Merck & Co. Inc., 07033 - Kenilworth/US
  • 6 Core, Merck & Co. Inc., 07065 - Rahway/US

Resources

Login to get immediate access to this content.

If you do not have an ESMO account, please create one for free.

Abstract 2016P

Background

Recommended treatment for MIBC is radical cystectomy (RC) with cisplatin-based NAD chemotherapy in eligible patients. EFS, a common intermediate endpoint in NAD/perioperative oncology trials, allows for accelerated treatment evaluation while awaiting overall OS results. This study evaluated EFS as a clinical surrogate endpoint for OS in NAD treated MIBC.

Methods

A literature review was conducted to identify clinical trials for NAD therapy prior to RC in MIBC (stage T2-T4a, N0-N1, M0). The trial-level surrogacy was evaluated by assessing the association of hazard ratio (HR) of EFS with the HR of OS; outcome-level surrogacy was evaluated by assessing the associations of survival rates and median survival time between EFS and OS, respectively. These associations were meta-analyzed using linear regression weighted by study sample size. The strength of the association was measured by coefficient of determination (R2). Surrogate threshold effect (STE) was reported indicating the minimum HR of EFS needed to predict a significant HR of OS <1.

Results

A total of 15 eligible clinical trials were identified. The analysis of trial-level surrogacy included 6 RCTs with a total of 1,948 patients; the analyses of outcome-level surrogacy included 21 study arms from 15 trials with 2,509 patients. The log (HR) of EFS was significantly associated with the log (HR) of OS with R2 of 0.94. (Table) The STE was 0.88 for the HR of EFS. Consistently, significant outcome-level associations were observed between 3-year EFS and 5-year OS, median EFS time and median OS time, as well as 1-year EFS and 3-year OS, with R2 ranging from 0.70 to 0.97. (Table) Table: 2016P

Trial-level and outcome-level associations between EFS and OS based on clinical trials for neoadjuvant therapy in MIBC

Outcomes for comparison N of observations Coefficient (P-value) R 2 (95% CI)
Trial-level surrogacy HR of EFS vs. HR of OS 6 RCTs 1.26 (0.001) 0.94 (0.74, 1.00)
Outcome-level surrogacy 3-year EFS vs. 5-year OS 12 study arms 0.85 (

Conclusions

There is a strong association between EFS and OS in terms of treatment effects and outcome measures in clinical trials for MIBC following NAD therapy. EFS can be considered as a surrogate endpoint for OS for treatment evaluation in the NAD setting for MIBC.

Clinical trial identification

Editorial acknowledgement

Legal entity responsible for the study

Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.

Funding

Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA.

Disclosure

C.N. Sternberg: Financial Interests, Personal, Other, Honoraria: Merck & Co., Inc., Astellas Pharma, Inc., AstraZeneca, Bayer, Bristol Myers Squibb/Medarex, Foundation Medicine Inc, Sanofi, Genzyme, Gilead Sciences, Inc., Pfizer, Janssen, Roche, Medscape, UroToday. P.J. Squires, H. Li: Financial Interests, Personal, Full or part-time Employment: Merck & Co., Inc. Y. Song, A. Wu, Y. Gao, C. Xu: Financial Interests, Institutional, Other, Employee of Analysis Group, Inc., which has received consultation fees from Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC, a subsidiary of Merck & Co., Inc., Rahway, NJ, USA for conducting this work: Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC. R. Kataria: Financial Interests, Personal, Full or part-time Employment: Merck Sharp & Dohme LLC.

This site uses cookies. Some of these cookies are essential, while others help us improve your experience by providing insights into how the site is being used.

For more detailed information on the cookies we use, please check our Privacy Policy.

Customise settings
  • Necessary cookies enable core functionality. The website cannot function properly without these cookies, and you can only disable them by changing your browser preferences.