Abstract 1733
Background
More than half of early breast cancer recurrences occur after 5 years from the initial diagnosis. An individualized estimate of the risk of late-period breast cancer-specific death (LP-BCSD) after 5 years of endocrine therapy (ET) can improve decision-making for extended endocrine therapy (EET).
Methods
A total of 147,059 eligible patients with breast cancer who survived 5+ years after diagnosis between 1990 and 2007 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate analyses based on the competing risk regression model were used to evaluate predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD. Significant factors were used to build a nomogram to individualize estimates of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD.
Results
The 5- and 10-year LP-BCSD rates were 5.67% and 10.06%, respectively, and the 5- and 10-year LP-non-BCSD rates were 6.72% and 15.50%, respectively. Young age, black race, single marital status, poor differentiation, large tumor size, lymph node metastasis, and ER+/PR- status were independent predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD. Age was the most important factor for predicting high risk of LP-non-BCSD. The nomograms, which were based on significant factors identified by the competing risk regression model. A risk score system based on the competing risk nomogram was established to describe the relative risk of LP-BCSD and LP-non-BCSD.
Conclusions
This study explored the novel endpoint of LP-BCSD for further clinical trials. The risk score system is highly useful for patient counseling, especially in discussing EET options with elderly or comorbid patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Jianfei Fu.
Funding
Science & Technology Division of Jinhua Zhejiang Province.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
5812 - Correlation between the density of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, immune cell subsets in tumor stroma and response to systemic therapy in breast cancer
Presenter: Cvetka Grasic Kuhar
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4734 - BRCA1/2 Testing in HER2- Advanced Breast Cancer (ABC): Results from the European Component of a Multi-Country Real World Study
Presenter: Michael Patrick Lux
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1686 - In vitro and in vivo rescue of resistance to BET inhibitors by targeting PLK1 in triple negative breast cancer.
Presenter: Cristina Nieto-jiménez
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5020 - Neoadjuvant endocrine therapy in combination with melatonin and metformin in locally advanced breast cancer
Presenter: Tatiana Semiglazova
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5082 - Melatonin and metformin in neoadjuvant chemotherapy in locally advanced breast cancer
Presenter: Tatiana Semiglazova
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2642 - Patient-tailored tamoxifen dosing based on an increased quantitative understanding of its complex pharmacokinetics: A novel integrative modelling approach
Presenter: Anna Mueller-Schoell
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2461 - Lack of benefit of neoadjuvant pertuzumab in high risk HER2 positive breast cancer. A retrospective case-control study of 355 cases with biomarker analysis.
Presenter: Manuela Tiako Meyo
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4776 - Targeting CDCA3 to improve chemotherapy response in triple-negative breast cancer patients
Presenter: Kenneth O'Byrne
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1674 - Activity of BET-proteolysis targeting chimeric (PROTAC) compounds in triple negative breast cancer
Presenter: María Del Mar Noblejas López
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5629 - Outcome of triple negative inflammatory breast cancers (TNIBC) treated with dose dense neoadjuvant epirubicin cyclophosphmide, prognostic impact of pre and post neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) and post NAC lymphovascular invasion
Presenter: Luca Campedel
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract