Abstract 4304
Background
Despite multimodality treatment, in the Western world > 50% of GC patients relapse following curative-intent surgery and succumb to their disease. The absolute survival benefit of perioperative or adjuvant chemotherapy ranges from 6 to 15% at 5 years and must be balanced against treatment-related toxicities. Reliable tools to risk-stratify patients are lacking. The aim of this study was to build a practical tool to guide daily decision-making and clinical trial design.
Methods
Data of patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for T2-4 and N-positive GC between 2008 and 2018 at the Modena Cancer Centre were retrieved. Clinicopathologic and biochemical parameters deemed of potential interest were collected. The cut-off value for continuos variables was assessed at 75° percentile. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard models were used to assess the prognostic value of covariates. Based on the multivariate model, a nomogram to predict 2- and 3-year RFS was developed with a corresponding number of points assigned to a given magnitude of the variable.
Results
A total of 157 patients were eligible for the analysis. 51% (n = 80) were female and 88% (n = 139) had an ECOG PS of 0-1. Only 6% of cases were gastroesophageal junction cancers. 13% (n = 20), 25% (n = 40), 62% (n = 97) presented at diagnosis with stage I, II and III, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 49% of patients. Out of 15 covariates tested, the following were independent predictors of outcome in the multivariate analysis and therefore included in the nomogram: ECOG PS (HR 2.51; p = 0.006), nodal status (HR 3.04; p = 0.078), angioinvasion (HR 2.62; p = 0.005) and logNeutrophil/Lymphocyte ratio (HR 3.50; p < 0.001).
Conclusions
We built an easy-to-use nomogram to estimate 2- and 3-year individual RFS probability in resected GC. Interestingly, this tool incorporates variables reflecting patients characteristics (ECOG PS), tumour aggressiveness (nodal status and angioinvasion) and immune-inflammation status (NLR). This nomogram could assist clinicians in discussing with patients prognosis and the risk-to-benefit ratio of systemic treatment as well as the design of future trials.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Massimiliano Salati.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3608 - Prognostic impact of Body Mass Index (BMI) on overall survival in patients with metastatic breast cancer
Presenter: Khalil SALEH
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2686 - Clinicopathological characteristics, survival and prognostic factors of breast cancer-related microangiopathic haemolytic anemia: a multicenter study
Presenter: Marion Alhenc Gelas
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1565 - Metabolic tumor volume by 18F-FDG PET/CT is an independent prognostic factor in metastatic breast cancer
Presenter: Heekyung Ahn
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4498 - Patient Preferences for breast cancer treatments: A Discrete Choice Experiment from four European countries
Presenter: Thomais Konstantopoulou
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1423 - Palbociclib plus fulvestrant as second- or later-line therapy for patients with locally advanced, inoperable or metastatic HR+/HER2- breast cancer in Germany: Interim results of the INGE-B phase 2 study
Presenter: Diana Lüftner
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2284 - Ventriculoperitoneal Shunt for CNS Metastasis in Breast Cancer: Clinical Outcomes Based on Intrinsic Subtype
Presenter: Hee Kyung Kim
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4598 - Administration of chemotherapy for metastatic breast cancer near the end of life: a population registry study
Presenter: Luisa Edman Kessler
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5706 - Prognostic value of histological growth pattern in patients operated for breast cancer liver metastases
Presenter: Ali Bohlok
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1697 - Illness perceptions, quality of life and mood in metastatic breast cancer patients
Presenter: Isabel Domingues
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1935 - Multidisciplinary Treatments Increases Overall Survival in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Stage IV Breast Cancer:An Analysis of 2010–2014 SEER Data
Presenter: Jian Zhang
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract