Abstract 4304
Background
Despite multimodality treatment, in the Western world > 50% of GC patients relapse following curative-intent surgery and succumb to their disease. The absolute survival benefit of perioperative or adjuvant chemotherapy ranges from 6 to 15% at 5 years and must be balanced against treatment-related toxicities. Reliable tools to risk-stratify patients are lacking. The aim of this study was to build a practical tool to guide daily decision-making and clinical trial design.
Methods
Data of patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for T2-4 and N-positive GC between 2008 and 2018 at the Modena Cancer Centre were retrieved. Clinicopathologic and biochemical parameters deemed of potential interest were collected. The cut-off value for continuos variables was assessed at 75° percentile. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard models were used to assess the prognostic value of covariates. Based on the multivariate model, a nomogram to predict 2- and 3-year RFS was developed with a corresponding number of points assigned to a given magnitude of the variable.
Results
A total of 157 patients were eligible for the analysis. 51% (n = 80) were female and 88% (n = 139) had an ECOG PS of 0-1. Only 6% of cases were gastroesophageal junction cancers. 13% (n = 20), 25% (n = 40), 62% (n = 97) presented at diagnosis with stage I, II and III, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 49% of patients. Out of 15 covariates tested, the following were independent predictors of outcome in the multivariate analysis and therefore included in the nomogram: ECOG PS (HR 2.51; p = 0.006), nodal status (HR 3.04; p = 0.078), angioinvasion (HR 2.62; p = 0.005) and logNeutrophil/Lymphocyte ratio (HR 3.50; p < 0.001).
Conclusions
We built an easy-to-use nomogram to estimate 2- and 3-year individual RFS probability in resected GC. Interestingly, this tool incorporates variables reflecting patients characteristics (ECOG PS), tumour aggressiveness (nodal status and angioinvasion) and immune-inflammation status (NLR). This nomogram could assist clinicians in discussing with patients prognosis and the risk-to-benefit ratio of systemic treatment as well as the design of future trials.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Massimiliano Salati.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
2674 - Multicenter Phase I Trial of Trastuzumab Emtansine (T-DM1) in Combination with Non-Pegylated Liposomal Doxorubicin (NPLD) in HER2[+] Metastatic Breast Cancer (MBC). THELMA Study
Presenter: Elena López-Miranda
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1398 - Phase 1 study of liposomal formulation of eribulin (E7389-LF) in patients (pts) with advanced solid tumors: primary results of dose-escalation part
Presenter: Noboru Yamamoto
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5818 - Polo-like Kinase 1 inhibitor onvansertib synergizes with paclitaxel in breast cancer carrying p53 mutation
Presenter: Antonio Giordano
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5927 - Phase 1b study of heat shock protein 90 inhibitor, onalespib in combination with paclitaxel in patients with advanced, triple negative breast cancer (NCT02474173).
Presenter: Robert Wesolowski
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1695 - Impact of pertuzumab and T-DM1 on prognosis of HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (MBC) and factors affecting their efficacy: results from the AGMT_MBC-Registry
Presenter: Simon Peter Gampenrieder
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1742 - Clinical profile and outcome of HER2 positive breast cancer patients with brain metastases treated with HER2 targeted therapy: Real world experience.
Presenter: Prabhat Bhargava
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1846 - Pertuzumab, trastuzumab, and docetaxel for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer: results of single arm phase IV COMACHI study
Presenter: Norikazu Masuda
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5385 - Anti HER-2 Therapies and Left Ventricular Dysfunction The Renaissance Study
Presenter: ANDRES DANIELE
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3320 - Safety and efficacy of T-DM1 in 128 patients with advanced HER2+ breast cancer: The Royal Marsden experience.
Presenter: Nicolò Battisti
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4540 - Use of trastuzumab emtansine (T-DM1; K) after pertuzumab + trastuzumab (PH) in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (mBC): challenges in assessing effectiveness of treatment sequencing in the real world (RW)
Presenter: Thibaut Sanglier
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract