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ePoster Display

327P - Predictors of progression-free survival in patients with metastatic breast cancer receiving palbociclib with letrozole


16 Sep 2021


ePoster Display


Roya Behrouzi


Annals of Oncology (2021) 32 (suppl_5): S457-S515. 10.1016/annonc/annonc689


R. Behrouzi1, S. Moon2, D. Eaton2

Author affiliations

  • 1 Medical Oncology, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, M20 4BX - Manchester/GB
  • 2 Medical Oncology, University Hospitals of Morecambe Bay NHS Foundation Trust, LA1 4RP - Lancaster/GB

Abstract 327P


Palbociclib with endocrine therapy is a first line treatment for patients with estrogen receptor positive (ER+)/ human epidermal growth factor receptor negative (HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC). There is limited data regarding factors which predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients receiving this treatment.


Patients with ER+/HER2- MBC starting palbociclib with letrozole at a UK cancer centre from May 2017 - Dec 2020 were retrospectively identified. Baseline patient and treatment characteristics were obtained from electronic records. PFS was calculated from date of MBC diagnosis to Mar 2021.


61 patients were identified with mean age 63 ± 1.3 years. 2 were male. 58 (95%) were treatment naive and 3 (5%) had received a single chemotherapy line. The table shows further data. Median PFS was 27.9 months (95% CI 21.3-34.5). Patients with performance status (PS) 0 (HR 0.32, 95% CI 0.13-0.80, p=0.010), no liver metastases (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.21-1.00, p=0.046) or bone only (non-visceral) metastases (HR 0.36, 95% CI 0.14-0.95, p=0.034) had a longer PFS than patients without these characteristics. Median PFS was 17.2 months (95% CI 6.9-27.5) in patients with liver metastases compared to 30.7 months (95% CI 23.5-37.9) in patients without. Patients with bone only metastases or PS 0 did not reach median PFS. Age, comorbidities, menopause, histology, grade, number of metastatic sites, de novo vs recurrence, dose reduction or toxicity did not predict PFS (p>0.05). In patients with recurrence, previous chemotherapy, mastectomy, relapse on endocrine treatment or relapse within 5 years were not predictive of PFS (p>0.05). Table: 327P

Baseline characteristics (n=61) Treatment characteristics
PS 0 = 22 (36%)1 = 32 (53%)2 = 7 (12%) Maximum palbociclib dose reduction n=61 0 = 17 (28%)20% = 25 (41%)40% = 19 (31%)
Menopause Yes = 52 (85%)No =7 (11%)N/A = 2 (3%) Reason for reduction n=44 Toxicity = 41 (93%) Comorbidity = 3 (7%)
Tumour Grade 1 = 5 (8%)2 = 35 (57%)3 = 17 (28%)Unknown = 4 (7%) Dose limiting toxicity n=41 Neutropenia = 30 (73%)Mucositis = 4 (10%)Fatigue = 2 (5%)Other = 5 (12%)
Metastatic sites Bone only = 18 (30%)Visceral = 43 (70%)Liver = 16 (26%) Reason for stopping n=29 Progression = 22 (76%)Toxicity = 4 (14%)Death = 3 (10%)
Disease type Recurrence = 44 (72%)De Novo = 17 (28%) Cause of death n=14 Breast cancer = 14


Median PFS was similar to that in the PALOMA-2 study. PS ≥1, liver metastases or any visceral metastases were associated with a significantly shorter PFS. This suggests PS and metastatic pattern are important predictors of PFS and could be used to influence frequency of monitoring in patients with MBC receiving palbociclib.

Clinical trial identification

Editorial acknowledgement

Legal entity responsible for the study

The authors.


Has not received any funding.


All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.

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