Abstract 5637
Background
Due to improved outcome in mCRPC, most prognostic models may not reflect the current treatment landscape. Recently, Armstrong et al (Ann Oncol 2018) published a prognostic model based on the phase III PREVAIL trial.
Methods
We applied the Armstrong prognostic model to patients (pts) treated in the COU-AA-302 trial. Variables included in the model: albumin, ALP, Hb, LDH, NLR, number of bone metastases, pain, pattern of spread, PSA, time from diagnosis. Pts were categorized into low ( < =3), intermediate (4-6) or high (7-10 risk factors) risk. A continuous score was calculated. Association with overall survival (OS), radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) and time to PSA progression (TTPSAP) was calculated with Cox-regression models, with Kaplan Meier estimates for median values. C-indices were used to assess the performance of the continuous risk score.
Results
918 pts (84,4%) had data on all variables. Risk score (continuous) was associated with OS (HR 2.19; p < 0.001) with a c-index of 0.68 (se = 0.011). 483 (52.6%), 403 (43.9%) and 32 (3.5%) pts were classified as low-, intermediate- and high-risk. OS was longer in low- than in intermediate- (HR: 0.4; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.24; p < 0.001) pts. rPFS was prolonged in low risk versus intermediate (HR: 0.57; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.41; p < 0.001) pts. TTPSAP was also improved in low-risk vs intermediate (HR: 0.6; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.41; p < 0.001) pts. The association of risk group with OS, rPFS and TTPSAP was independent of treatment arm (Table). KM estimates of median (95%CI) OS, rPFS and TTPSAP.Table:
864P
OS | rPFS | TTPSAP | |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 41.7m (38.7-46.8) | 16.4m (13.8-19.1) | 11.1m (8.3-11.2) |
Intermediate | 24.6m (23.1-26.8) | 8.3m (8-11) | 5.6m (5.5-8.2) |
High | 16.7m (11.7-30.2) | 3.9m (3.6-4.1) | 5.3m (3.7-8.3) |
Conclusions
The Armstrong model is valid for mCRPC pts treated with first-line abiraterone. Less pts with high-risk features were included in COU-AA-302 than PREVAIL. These results may improve individual prognostic estimation and patient stratification in clinical trials. Study carried out under YODA Project #2018-3813.
Clinical trial identification
NCT00887198.
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
D. Lorente: Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Sanofi; Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Janssen; Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Astellas; Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bayer. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
1984 - Induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC)
Presenter: Gizem Kaval
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4822 - Efficiacy of different nutritional intervention on nutritional status and quality of life for local advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients: a prospective clinical trial
Presenter: Yuan-yuan Chen
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2628 - Apatinib in treating patients with platinum-resistant or platinum-refractory recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma
Presenter: Changjuan Tao
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4887 - Impact of tumor site and adjuvant radiotherapy on survival of adenoid cystic carcinoma: a SEER database analysis
Presenter: Jason Tasoulas
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2634 - Efficacy and safety of anlotinib for patients with recurrent and/or metastatic salivary gland carcinomas
Presenter: Wen Jiang
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
3568 - ACCURACY a phase (P) 2 trial of AL101, a pan-Notch inhibitor, in recurrent/metastatic (R/M) adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) patients (pts) with Notch activating mutations (Notch act mut): preliminary safety and efficacy data.
Presenter: Renata Ferrarotto
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
683 - Pathologic Staging Changes in Oral Cavity Squamous Cell Carcinoma—Stage Migration and Implications for Adjuvant Treatment
Presenter: Zain Husain
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
563 - Expression of immune response biomarkers in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) in irradiated area
Presenter: Carole Pflumio
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4030 - HLA-Ligandome analysis reveals target antigens of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma
Presenter: Simon Laban
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2979 - Topographical distribution of sentinel lymph nodes in early tongue squamous cell carcinomas
Presenter: Hiroyuki Goda
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract