Abstract 3612
Background
Combination of ICIs and chemotherapy (ICI-C) has become a more favourable design in recent trials. We have previously reported 6-month PFS rate (PFS6) is a good surrogate for 12-month overall survival rate (OS12) within treatment (ICI) arms, but had limited data to examine surrogate endpoints for treatment comparisons. We extend our work to validate prior findings by updating with data from more recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs), especially studies testing combination ICI-C.
Methods
We performed a literature search to identify eligible Phase (Ph) 2 and 3 RCTs of ICI. We excluded studies with sample size of < 100 or control arms without active treatment. Efficacy data including objective response rate (ORR), PFS, OS, PFS6 and OS12 were extracted. We examined the associations of relative treatment comparisons between ORR risk ratio (RR) with hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS. We also studied the correlations between ORR, PFS6 and OS12 within ICI arm. A correlation coefficient (r) of 0 indicates lack of association whereas 1 implies perfect surrogacy.
Results
Forty-six RCTs (5 Ph2; 41 Ph3) with 51 treatment comparisons were identified. Associations between ORR RR with PFS HR, ORR RR with OS HR, and PFS HR with OS HR were r = 0.67, r = 0.42 and r = 0.52 respectively. For the 16 RCTs of ICI-C, these associations were r = 0.79, r = 0.58 and r = 0.64 respectively. For the 35 RCTs of ICI monotherapy, these associations were r = 0.71, r = 0.40 and r = 0.54. Within the ICI arms, associations between ORR and PFS6, ORR and OS12, and PFS6 and OS12 were r = 0.67, r = 0.54 and r = 0.79. Within ICI-C trials, these associations were r = 0.60, r = 0.56 and r = 0.60 respectively. Within ICI monotherapy trials, these associations were r = 0.51, r = 0.46 and r = 0.80 respectively.
Conclusions
In treatment comparison, the correlation between PFS and OS was modest, but stronger in ICI-C trials. Within ICI arms, PFS6 had stronger correlation with OS12 than ORR. PFS is recommended as a surrogate endpoint for ICI trials over ORR.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
M. Friedlander: Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (institution), Lecturer fees: AstraZeneca; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Lilly; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: MSD; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Takeda. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3361 - Providing a nurse-led telephone intervention for patients treated with oral anticancer medication: symptom management and adherence monitoring
Presenter: Etienne Minvielle
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
3937 - Chronological evaluation of health-related quality of life and physical symptoms in postoperative pancreatic cancer patients up to 12 months
Presenter: Naoko Sato
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5620 - Understanding the patients’ Experiences of Radiation Therapy: A Qualitative Study on Prostate Cancer Patients
Presenter: Sakarias Johansson
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1792 - Effect of Kegel exercises on prevention of urinary and fecal incontinence in patients with prostate cancer undergoing radiotherapy
Presenter: Aydan Uravylioglu
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2169 - The Meaning of Responsibility – a Secondary Analysis of Patients and Caregivers Calls to an Oncology Emergency Telephone
Presenter: Heidi Jacobsen
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4587 - Cognitive function changes and Associated Factors in Patients Receiving Chemotherapy
Presenter: Elif Dil
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1981 - Prevention of dental complications in patients with multiple myeloma (MM) receiving bisphosphonates treatment
Presenter: CESCA PUIGMARTI
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2725 - Safety profile of oral netupitant/palonosetron in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation recipients.
Presenter: Marina Bosch - Damas
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5112 - Symptomatic and toxicity management of cancer patients using a telephone support model led by the oncology nurse
Presenter: Gemma Simó
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1365 - Symptom cluster of fatigue, sleep disturbance and depression and its impact on quality of life among Chinese breast cancer patients undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy: A cross-sectional study
Presenter: Xiaole HE
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract