Abstract 3612
Background
Combination of ICIs and chemotherapy (ICI-C) has become a more favourable design in recent trials. We have previously reported 6-month PFS rate (PFS6) is a good surrogate for 12-month overall survival rate (OS12) within treatment (ICI) arms, but had limited data to examine surrogate endpoints for treatment comparisons. We extend our work to validate prior findings by updating with data from more recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs), especially studies testing combination ICI-C.
Methods
We performed a literature search to identify eligible Phase (Ph) 2 and 3 RCTs of ICI. We excluded studies with sample size of < 100 or control arms without active treatment. Efficacy data including objective response rate (ORR), PFS, OS, PFS6 and OS12 were extracted. We examined the associations of relative treatment comparisons between ORR risk ratio (RR) with hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS. We also studied the correlations between ORR, PFS6 and OS12 within ICI arm. A correlation coefficient (r) of 0 indicates lack of association whereas 1 implies perfect surrogacy.
Results
Forty-six RCTs (5 Ph2; 41 Ph3) with 51 treatment comparisons were identified. Associations between ORR RR with PFS HR, ORR RR with OS HR, and PFS HR with OS HR were r = 0.67, r = 0.42 and r = 0.52 respectively. For the 16 RCTs of ICI-C, these associations were r = 0.79, r = 0.58 and r = 0.64 respectively. For the 35 RCTs of ICI monotherapy, these associations were r = 0.71, r = 0.40 and r = 0.54. Within the ICI arms, associations between ORR and PFS6, ORR and OS12, and PFS6 and OS12 were r = 0.67, r = 0.54 and r = 0.79. Within ICI-C trials, these associations were r = 0.60, r = 0.56 and r = 0.60 respectively. Within ICI monotherapy trials, these associations were r = 0.51, r = 0.46 and r = 0.80 respectively.
Conclusions
In treatment comparison, the correlation between PFS and OS was modest, but stronger in ICI-C trials. Within ICI arms, PFS6 had stronger correlation with OS12 than ORR. PFS is recommended as a surrogate endpoint for ICI trials over ORR.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
M. Friedlander: Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (institution), Lecturer fees: AstraZeneca; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Lilly; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: MSD; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Takeda. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
5056 - Phase 2 study of 2 dosing regimens of cemiplimab, a human monoclonal anti–PD-1, in metastatic cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (mCSCC)
Presenter: Danny Rischin
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5710 - Avelumab for advanced Merkel cell carcinoma in the Netherlands; a nationwide survey
Presenter: Sonja Levy
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
3152 - Health-related quality of life in patients with metastatic Merkel cell carcinoma receiving second-line or later avelumab treatment: 36-month follow-up data
Presenter: Sandra D'Angelo
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5715 - A Phase 2, Randomized Study of Nivolumab (NIVO) and Ipilimumab (IPI) versus NIVO, IPI and Stereotactic Body Radiation Therapy (SBRT) for Metastatic Merkel Cell Carcinoma (MCC, NCT03071406) – a preliminary report.
Presenter: Sungjune Kim
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2854 - Real-world impact of immune checkpoint inhibitors in metastatic uveal melanoma
Presenter: Kalijn Bol
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2928 - Immune checkpoint inhibitors in a cohort of 206 metastatic uveal melanomas patients
Presenter: Mathilde Saint-Ghislain
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1235 - Incidence and survival of Uveal Melanoma occurring as single cancer versus its occurrence as a first or second primary neoplasm
Presenter: Ahmad Alfaar
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
3615 - Validation of a Clinicopathological and Gene Expression Profile (CP-GEP) Model for Sentinel Lymph Node Metastasis in Primary Cutaneous Melanoma
Presenter: Evalyn Mulder
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1793 - External validation of the 8th Edition Melanoma Staging System of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) using the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Program
Presenter: Angelina Tjokrowidjaja
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4278 - Clinical factors and overall survival (OS) associated with patterns of metastases (mets) in melanoma patients (pts).
Presenter: Ines Pires da Silva
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract