Abstract 3612
Background
Combination of ICIs and chemotherapy (ICI-C) has become a more favourable design in recent trials. We have previously reported 6-month PFS rate (PFS6) is a good surrogate for 12-month overall survival rate (OS12) within treatment (ICI) arms, but had limited data to examine surrogate endpoints for treatment comparisons. We extend our work to validate prior findings by updating with data from more recent randomized controlled trials (RCTs), especially studies testing combination ICI-C.
Methods
We performed a literature search to identify eligible Phase (Ph) 2 and 3 RCTs of ICI. We excluded studies with sample size of < 100 or control arms without active treatment. Efficacy data including objective response rate (ORR), PFS, OS, PFS6 and OS12 were extracted. We examined the associations of relative treatment comparisons between ORR risk ratio (RR) with hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS and OS. We also studied the correlations between ORR, PFS6 and OS12 within ICI arm. A correlation coefficient (r) of 0 indicates lack of association whereas 1 implies perfect surrogacy.
Results
Forty-six RCTs (5 Ph2; 41 Ph3) with 51 treatment comparisons were identified. Associations between ORR RR with PFS HR, ORR RR with OS HR, and PFS HR with OS HR were r = 0.67, r = 0.42 and r = 0.52 respectively. For the 16 RCTs of ICI-C, these associations were r = 0.79, r = 0.58 and r = 0.64 respectively. For the 35 RCTs of ICI monotherapy, these associations were r = 0.71, r = 0.40 and r = 0.54. Within the ICI arms, associations between ORR and PFS6, ORR and OS12, and PFS6 and OS12 were r = 0.67, r = 0.54 and r = 0.79. Within ICI-C trials, these associations were r = 0.60, r = 0.56 and r = 0.60 respectively. Within ICI monotherapy trials, these associations were r = 0.51, r = 0.46 and r = 0.80 respectively.
Conclusions
In treatment comparison, the correlation between PFS and OS was modest, but stronger in ICI-C trials. Within ICI arms, PFS6 had stronger correlation with OS12 than ORR. PFS is recommended as a surrogate endpoint for ICI trials over ORR.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
M. Friedlander: Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (institution), Lecturer fees: AstraZeneca; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Lilly; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: MSD; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy: Takeda. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3073 - 1 patient 3 different advance Ca nurse’s roles: symptom management&continuum care through a joint approach in a clinical case
Presenter: Catarina Almeida
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4527 - Identification of malnutrition risk factors in patients with cancer in the first nursing visit
Presenter: Amaia Valverde
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2904 - Engaging Cancer Survivors, Healthcare Providers and Advocates in The Development of a Colorectal Cancer Survivorship Information Resource: A Participatory Action Research Study
Presenter: Amanda Drury
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
3435 - Medical nurses’ experiences of the care-needs of adult patients with a primary brain tumour
Presenter: Jamila Mohammed
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
857 - Feasibility and acceptability of a mHealth intervention to increase colonoscopy uptake among Chinese first-degree relatives: a pilot cluster randomized controlled trial
Presenter: Yang Bai
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1087 - Cancer patient participation and compliance in microbiome sample collection: an oncology research nurse’s experience
Presenter: Julie Malo
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2783 - Implementing Digital Individual Care plans for Patients with Head and Neck cancer- Challenges and opportunities
Presenter: Helena Ullgren
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1152 - The Effect of the Short-term and Long-term Compassion Fatigue Resiliency Program on the Quality of Life, Perceived Stress and Psychological Resilience of Oncology-Hematology Nurses
Presenter: Tugba Pehlivan
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1172 - Competing risk analyses of overall survival and cancer-specific survival in patients with orbital rhabdomyosarcoma after surgery: a large cohort study
Presenter: Yu Zhang
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5949 - Communication of genetic information to family members in hereditary cancers and healthcare providers’ role
Presenter: Carla Pedrazzani
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract