Abstract 3477
Background
Progression from early BC (eBC) to mBC creates a substantial burden for pts and healthcare systems. The KATHERINE trial showed adjuvant T-DM1 reduced the risk of disease recurrence or death by 50% vs trastuzumab (T) in pts with HER2-positive eBC with residual disease after neoadjuvant tx. The population level impact of T-DM1 on preventing relapsed mBC cases of HER2-positive, non-pCR eBC in 5 European countries (EU5) was estimated.
Methods
An epidemiological model was developed and data from observational and clinical trial studies were used to inform BC variables (Table). Weighted averages of non-pCR rates by neoadjuvant tx and hormone receptor (HR) subtype were calculated and extrapolations from KATHERINE data were used to model disease progression and death.Table:
193P Epidemiology model variables and sources to determine prevented relapsed mBC cases over the time period 2020-2029
Variable | Definition | Source |
---|---|---|
BC incidence | All incident cases of BC | National Cancer Registries for EU5* |
eBC stage HER2/HR status | Stage I–III HER2-positive, HR-positive, and HR-negative | Published literature, SEER data |
HER2-positive neoadjuvant tx rate | Rate of tx with T or T + pertuzumab | ESMO guidelines, syndicated reports, and SEER data |
HER2-positive neoadjuvant-treated non-pCR | HER2-positive who do not achieve pCR after neoadjuvant tx by tx regimen and HR status | Systematic literature review of observational studies, NeoSphere and KRISTINE trials |
Relapsed mBC incidence | Extrapolated disease-free survival and overall survival curves | KATHERINE trial |
EU5 = France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom (UK) ESMO, European Society for Medical Oncology; SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results.
Results
Projected incidence of HER2-positive eBC in EU5 increased from 36,966 to 39,039 pts between 2020 -2029. Annual population eligible for adjuvant T-DM1 tx was stable at approximately 10,000 pts over the study time period. Total cases of mBC prevented with adjuvant T-DM1 from 2020 -2029 is projected to increase from 46 to 1732 with a cumulative total of 10,139 or 27% of total projected incident-relapsed mBC cases among pts with HER2-positive, non-pCR eBC. At year 10 (2029), the model projects 3798 pts prevented from developing mBC with T, thus a 46% decrease with TDM-1 relative to T. Findings were similar across EU5. Modeling estimates may not consider shifts in incidence or reflect actual practice or events occurring outside of the study period.
Conclusions
Model outputs show a reduction of mBC due to T-DM1 beyond the maximum impact of T in eBC in EU5, thereby changing the epidemiology of HER2-positive BC over time, illustrating an even further decrease in current clinical and economic burden of this disease in these high-risk pts.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Purvi Shah, MD, of Ashfield Healthcare Communications (a UDG Healthcare plc company), supported by F Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd/Genentech, Inc.
Legal entity responsible for the study
F Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd/Genentech, Inc.
Funding
F Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd/Genentech, Inc.
Disclosure
M.Y. Williamson: Shareholder / Stockholder / Stock options, Full / Part-time employment: F. Hoffmann -La Roche Ltd. A. Tomar: Full / Part-time employment: ZS Associates International Inc. G.S. Jhuti: Shareholder / Stockholder / Stock options, Full / Part-time employment: F. Hoffmann -La Roche Ltd. C. Revil: Shareholder / Stockholder / Stock options, Full / Part-time employment: F. Hoffmann -La Roche Ltd. A. Kotzeva: Full / Part-time employment: F. Hoffmann -La Roche Ltd. K. Gururaj: Full / Part-time employment: ZS Associates International Inc.
Resources from the same session
4616 - Alpelisib (ALP) + Endocrine Therapy (ET) by Last Prior Therapy in Patients (pts) With PIK3CA-Mutated Hormone-Receptor Positive (HR+) Human Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor-2-Negative (HER2–) Advanced Breast Cancer (ABC): Additional Study Cohort in BYLieve
Presenter: Eva Ciruelos
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3592 - PRECYCLE: Impact of CANKADO-based eHealth-support on quality of life in metastatic breast cancer patients treated with palbociclib and endocrine therapy.
Presenter: Tom Degenhardt
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4168 - Efficacy and safety of oral poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor fluzoparib in patients with BRCA1/2 mutations and platinum sensitive recurrent ovarian cancer
Presenter: Ning Li
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2785 - Effect of response to last platinum-based chemotherapy in patients (pts) with platinum-sensitive, recurrent ovarian carcinoma in the phase 3 study ARIEL3 of rucaparib maintenance treatment
Presenter: Jonathan Ledermann
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3496 - Integrated safety analysis of the poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) inhibitor rucaparib in patients (pts) with ovarian cancer in the treatment and maintenance settings
Presenter: Rebecca Kristeleit
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2844 - Clinical factors associated with prolonged response and survival under olaparib as maintenance therapy in BRCA mutated ovarian cancers
Presenter: S.Intidhar Labidi-Galy
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1955 - A Prospective Evaluation of Tolerability of Niraparib Dosing Based on Baseline Body Weight (BW) and Platelet (plt) Count: Blinded Pooled Interim Safety Data from the NORA Study
Presenter: Xiaohua Wu
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2539 - Evaluation of Niraparib 200 mg/d as Maintenance Therapy in Recurrent Ovarian Cancer and Associated Thrombocytopenia in a Real-World US Setting
Presenter: Premal Thaker
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1290 - Niraparib initial dose and its’ management in patients with recurrent high-grade serous ovarian cancer.
Presenter: Jacek Grabowski
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3353 - Results of the 3rd interim analysis of C-Patrol: A non-interventional study on olaparib in German routine clinical practice
Presenter: Jalid Sehouli
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract