Abstract 5637
Background
Due to improved outcome in mCRPC, most prognostic models may not reflect the current treatment landscape. Recently, Armstrong et al (Ann Oncol 2018) published a prognostic model based on the phase III PREVAIL trial.
Methods
We applied the Armstrong prognostic model to patients (pts) treated in the COU-AA-302 trial. Variables included in the model: albumin, ALP, Hb, LDH, NLR, number of bone metastases, pain, pattern of spread, PSA, time from diagnosis. Pts were categorized into low ( < =3), intermediate (4-6) or high (7-10 risk factors) risk. A continuous score was calculated. Association with overall survival (OS), radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS) and time to PSA progression (TTPSAP) was calculated with Cox-regression models, with Kaplan Meier estimates for median values. C-indices were used to assess the performance of the continuous risk score.
Results
918 pts (84,4%) had data on all variables. Risk score (continuous) was associated with OS (HR 2.19; p < 0.001) with a c-index of 0.68 (se = 0.011). 483 (52.6%), 403 (43.9%) and 32 (3.5%) pts were classified as low-, intermediate- and high-risk. OS was longer in low- than in intermediate- (HR: 0.4; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.24; p < 0.001) pts. rPFS was prolonged in low risk versus intermediate (HR: 0.57; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.41; p < 0.001) pts. TTPSAP was also improved in low-risk vs intermediate (HR: 0.6; p < 0.001) and high-risk (HR: 0.41; p < 0.001) pts. The association of risk group with OS, rPFS and TTPSAP was independent of treatment arm (Table). KM estimates of median (95%CI) OS, rPFS and TTPSAP.Table:
864P
OS | rPFS | TTPSAP | |
---|---|---|---|
Low | 41.7m (38.7-46.8) | 16.4m (13.8-19.1) | 11.1m (8.3-11.2) |
Intermediate | 24.6m (23.1-26.8) | 8.3m (8-11) | 5.6m (5.5-8.2) |
High | 16.7m (11.7-30.2) | 3.9m (3.6-4.1) | 5.3m (3.7-8.3) |
Conclusions
The Armstrong model is valid for mCRPC pts treated with first-line abiraterone. Less pts with high-risk features were included in COU-AA-302 than PREVAIL. These results may improve individual prognostic estimation and patient stratification in clinical trials. Study carried out under YODA Project #2018-3813.
Clinical trial identification
NCT00887198.
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
D. Lorente: Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Sanofi; Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Janssen; Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Astellas; Advisory / Consultancy, Speaker Bureau / Expert testimony, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bayer. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
4868 - Evaluation of markers associated with efficacy of abiraterone acetate plus prednisone (AAP) in patients (pts) with castration-sensitive prostate cancer (mCSPC) from the LATITUDE study
Presenter: Kim Chi
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4837 - LRP2, a potential new biomarker for Chinese younger aged intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma patients
Presenter: Xiaoliang Shi
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
1286 - Reanalysis of the efficacy of molecular targeted agents (MTAs) given in the randomized trial SHIVA01 according to the ESMO ESCAT scale of actionability
Presenter: Aurelie Moreira
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2736 - Comparison of Platforms for Determining Tumor Mutational Burden (TMB) From Blood Samples in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)
Presenter: Jonathan Baden
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5045 - Comprehensive Pan-Cancer analysis of somatic mutations in drug transporters to reveal acquired and intrinsic drug resistance in 3149 metastatic cancer patients
Presenter: Sander Bins
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4577 - Pan-Cancer Genomic Landscape of the Cyclin D1/FGF3,4,19 (11q13) Amplicon Including Associations with HPV Status, and ESR1 and AR Alterations
Presenter: Jennifer Johnson
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
5366 - Co-occurrence of NTRK fusions with other genomic biomarkers in cancer patients
Presenter: Xiaolong Jiao
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
4084 - Prospective comparative study of next-generation sequencing on fine needle aspirations versus core needle biopsies in cancer patients included in SHIVA02 trial
Presenter: Julien Masliah-Planchon
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
6017 - First national External Quality Assessement for the interpretation of somatic variants: assessment of 25 variants in colorectal, lung, ovarian cancers and melanoma in France
Presenter: Etienne Rouleau
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract
2283 - Prospective testing of circulating tumor DNA in metastatic breast cancer facilitates clinical trial enrollment and precision oncology
Presenter: Andjelija Bujak
Session: Poster Display session 3
Resources:
Abstract