Abstract 1733
Background
More than half of early breast cancer recurrences occur after 5 years from the initial diagnosis. An individualized estimate of the risk of late-period breast cancer-specific death (LP-BCSD) after 5 years of endocrine therapy (ET) can improve decision-making for extended endocrine therapy (EET).
Methods
A total of 147,059 eligible patients with breast cancer who survived 5+ years after diagnosis between 1990 and 2007 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate analyses based on the competing risk regression model were used to evaluate predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD. Significant factors were used to build a nomogram to individualize estimates of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD.
Results
The 5- and 10-year LP-BCSD rates were 5.67% and 10.06%, respectively, and the 5- and 10-year LP-non-BCSD rates were 6.72% and 15.50%, respectively. Young age, black race, single marital status, poor differentiation, large tumor size, lymph node metastasis, and ER+/PR- status were independent predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD. Age was the most important factor for predicting high risk of LP-non-BCSD. The nomograms, which were based on significant factors identified by the competing risk regression model. A risk score system based on the competing risk nomogram was established to describe the relative risk of LP-BCSD and LP-non-BCSD.
Conclusions
This study explored the novel endpoint of LP-BCSD for further clinical trials. The risk score system is highly useful for patient counseling, especially in discussing EET options with elderly or comorbid patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Jianfei Fu.
Funding
Science & Technology Division of Jinhua Zhejiang Province.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
5793 - Real world treatment sequencing patterns in secondary breast cancer (SBC): Pathway visualisation using national datasets.
Presenter: Ashley Horne
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3185 - Utilization Pattern of Bone Targeting Agents in Patients with Solid Tumor in Taiwan, Hong Kong and Korea
Presenter: Shi Jie Lai
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3705 - Clinico-pathological Features and Prognosis of Patients with Pregnancy Associated Breast Cancer – A Matched Case Control Study
Presenter: Ruyan Zhang
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1421 - TRYbeCA-2: A Randomized Phase 2/3 Study of Eryaspase in Combination with Gemcitabine and Carboplatin Chemotherapy versus Chemotherapy Alone As First-Line Treatment in Patients with Metastatic or Locally Recurrent Triple-Negative Breast Cancer
Presenter: Ahmad Awada
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4119 - CONTESSA TRIO: A Multinational, Multicenter, Phase 2 Study of Tesetaxel plus 3 Different PD-(L)1 Inhibitors in Patients with Metastatic Triple-Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC) and Tesetaxel Monotherapy in Elderly Patients with HER2- Metastatic Breast Cancer (MBC)
Presenter: Sara Tolaney
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4545 - Bintrafusp alfa (M7824) and Eribulin Mesylate in Treating Patients With Metastatic Triple Negative Breast Cancer (TNBC)(NCT03579472)
Presenter: Jennifer Litton
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3340 - Effectiveness of Olaparib Plus Trastuzumab in HER2[+], BRCA–mutated (BRCAm) or Homologous Recombination Deficient (HRD) Advanced Breast Cancer (ABC) patients (pts). The OPHELIA Study
Presenter: José Enrique Alés-Martínez
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1113 - RIBOB : A Study on the efficacy and safety of Ribociclib in combination with letrozole in Older women (≥70 years) with hormone receptor-positive (HR+) HER2-negative (HER2-) advanced Breast cancer (aBC) with no prior systemic therapy for advanced disease
Presenter: Cindy Kenis
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4025 - RIbociclib plus Goserelin with Hormonal Therapy versus physician Choice chemotherapy in premenopausal or perimenopausal patients with HR+, HER2– inoperable locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer – RIGHT Choice study
Presenter: Nagi El Saghir
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3516 - Palbociclib Rechallenge in Hormone Receptor (HR)[+]/HER2[-] Advanced Breast Cancer (ABC). PALMIRA Trial
Presenter: Antonio Llombart Cussac
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract