Abstract 1580
Background
Brain metastases (BMs) account for a relatively large proportion of patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) both at the time of diagnosis and during the course of disease, which is a major cause leading to a significant increase in cancer-related mortality for NSCLC patients. We aimed to build a novel risk classification system to predict overall survival (OS) of patients presenting with BMs at the first diagnosis of NSCLC.
Methods
Data on NSCLC patients with BMs was extracted from the SEER database between 2010 and 2013. All cases were randomly divided into the training cohort and validation cohort (7:3). Cox regression was performed to select the independent predictors of OS. A nomogram was established for predicting 6-, 12- and 18-month OS. The prognostic performance of nomogram was evaluated using concordance indexes (C-indexes), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCAs). All statistical analysis was performed with R software.
Results
According to the multivariate Cox regression of the training set, the following variables were contained in the nomogram prognostic model: age, marital status, sex, race, primary site, histological type, T stage, N stage, metastatic pattern, whether received radiotherapy and chemotherapy. The nomogram displayed good accuracy in predicting 6, 12 and 18 months OS. The C-indexes of training set and validation set were 0.729 and 0.723, respectively. The calibration curves showed excellent consistency between the actual results and the nomogram prediction, and the DCAs exhibited great clinical utility of the model. A new risk classification system based on nomogram scores was introduced to classify NSCLC patients with BMs into three subgroups. In the training cohort, the median OS of patients in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups was 11.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.3–11.7), 5.0 months (95% CI 4.6–5.4), and 2.0 months (95% CI 1.9–2.1), respectively.
Conclusions
We established a risk stratification system based on nomogram scores to predict the OS of patients presenting with BMs at initial diagnosis of NSCLC. These predictive models can act as auxiliary tools to guide treatment strategies and prognostic evaluation.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
2459 - Does bevacizumab increase joint pain ? Preliminary results of BEVARTHRALGIA Study
Presenter: Vauleon Enora
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
4913 - Prostatic cancer androgen deprivation therapy and bone health in carcinoma prostate.
Presenter: Gouri Shankar Bhattacharyya
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
1352 - Patterns of care for patients with metastatic bone disease in solid tumors – a cross-sectional study (SAKK 95/16)
Presenter: Michael Mark
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
6002 - Infection-Related Mortality in Different Types of Cancers
Presenter: Mohamed Gouda
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
5643 - Survival Trends in Critically ill Oncology Patients: impact of patient’s eligibility to post-ICU chemotherapy
Presenter: Edith Borcoman
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
3097 - Development and validation of a multivariable prediction model for 6-month mortality in older cancer patients: the GeriAtrIc-Tumor Score of PrEdiction for Early Death (GAIT SPEED)
Presenter: Angeli Angeli
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
856 - A Longitudinal Tracking and Quantitative Assessment of Paclitaxel-Induced Peripheral Neurotoxicity
Presenter: Ayumu Matsuoka
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
1662 - Efficiency of controlled cryotherapy in prevention of chemotherapy induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN)
Presenter: Trudi Schaper
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
2766 - The Validity of Evaluations for Chemotherapy-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy (CIPN)
Presenter: Teppei Yamada
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
5683 - Prevention of chemoradiation-related mucositis in patients with head and neck cancer using dexamethasone-based mouthwash: A phase II randomized double-blind, placebo-controlled study
Presenter: Naiyarat Prasongsook
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract