Abstract 1978
Background
Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients who achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) after Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have better prognoses. This study intended to develop an intuitive nomogram based on simple blood indexes to predict the pCR of standard NAC in TNBC patients with an ultimate aim to tailor more beneficial treatments and improve outcomes.
Methods
A total of 80 TNBC patients who received standard NAC, 4 cycles of anthracycline (epirubicin or adriamycin) and cyclophosphamide followed by 4 cycles of taxane, and subsequent surgery in Zhejiang Cancer Hospital between January 2016 and December 2018 were retrospected and their pre-treatment clinical features and several simple blood indexes were collected. The optimal cutoff values of blood indexes were determined by Youden index using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The forward stepwise logistic regression (likelihood ratio) analysis was applied to identify predictive factors for pCR of NAC. Then a nomogram was developed according to the logistic model. The calibration of the nomogram was carried out by internal validation with the bootstrap resampling approach and displayed using a calibration curve. The goodness of fit for the model was checked by a Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The discrimination of the nomogram was graphically shown by the ROC curve and quantified by the area under the curve (AUC).
Results
The pCR was achieved in 39 (48.8%) patients after NAC. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified four independent indicators: clinical tumor stage, lymphocyte monocyte ratio, fibrinogen and D-dimer. The nomogram established based on those factors showed its discrimination with an AUC of 0.803 (95% CI 0.706-0.899) and a bias-corrected AUC of 0.771. The calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed the prediction of the nomogram was a good fit with actual observation.
Conclusions
Based on four simple, easily accessible, inexpensive and objective factors, the nomogram proposed in the present study exhibited a sufficient ability of discrimination for predicting pCR of NAC in TNBC patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3963 - Robot-assisted natural orifice specimen extraction surgery for radical resection of colorectal cancer
Presenter: Zhengchuan Niu
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3989 - Bevacizumab as adjuvant treatment for colon cancer: Updated results from the AVANT phase III Study by the GERCOR Group
Presenter: Thierry André
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4741 - Real world data on adjuvant chemotherapy for high-risk stage II colorectal cancer – the role of tumor side
Presenter: Camila Araujo de Carvalho
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4973 - Oncological Outcome and Safety of Bevacizumab (BV) Therapy in Patients with Occlusive Colon Cancer and Self-Expandable Metal Stents (SEMS)
Presenter: Vilma Pacheco-Barcia
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2295 - Active chronic hepatitis B increases the risk of liver metastasis of colorectal cancer- a retrospective clinical study of 7187 consecutive cases of newly diagnosed colorectal cancer
Presenter: Lei Zhao
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3845 - Comprehensive Evaluation of Recurrence Risk (CERR) Score for Colorectal Liver Metastases: Development and Validation
Presenter: Wei Ye
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1976 - BRAF-mutated colorectal metastases: what is the benefit of liver surgery? Results from a cohort of 91 patients.
Presenter: Sahir Javed
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2688 - The smallest colorectal liver metastasis size as a prognosis factor after laparoscopic liver resection
Presenter: Baptiste Cervantes
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4961 - Validation of GAME score risk groups in resected colorectal cancer liver metastases and the prognostic relevance of KRAS, NRAS and BRAF mutation analysis
Presenter: Berta Martin-Cullell
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5295 - Predictive factors and survival outcomes with stereotactic body radiation therapy in treatment of oligometastases in colorectal cancer
Presenter: Vibhay Pareek
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract