Abstract 1978
Background
Triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients who achieve a pathologic complete response (pCR) after Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have better prognoses. This study intended to develop an intuitive nomogram based on simple blood indexes to predict the pCR of standard NAC in TNBC patients with an ultimate aim to tailor more beneficial treatments and improve outcomes.
Methods
A total of 80 TNBC patients who received standard NAC, 4 cycles of anthracycline (epirubicin or adriamycin) and cyclophosphamide followed by 4 cycles of taxane, and subsequent surgery in Zhejiang Cancer Hospital between January 2016 and December 2018 were retrospected and their pre-treatment clinical features and several simple blood indexes were collected. The optimal cutoff values of blood indexes were determined by Youden index using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The forward stepwise logistic regression (likelihood ratio) analysis was applied to identify predictive factors for pCR of NAC. Then a nomogram was developed according to the logistic model. The calibration of the nomogram was carried out by internal validation with the bootstrap resampling approach and displayed using a calibration curve. The goodness of fit for the model was checked by a Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The discrimination of the nomogram was graphically shown by the ROC curve and quantified by the area under the curve (AUC).
Results
The pCR was achieved in 39 (48.8%) patients after NAC. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified four independent indicators: clinical tumor stage, lymphocyte monocyte ratio, fibrinogen and D-dimer. The nomogram established based on those factors showed its discrimination with an AUC of 0.803 (95% CI 0.706-0.899) and a bias-corrected AUC of 0.771. The calibration curve and Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed the prediction of the nomogram was a good fit with actual observation.
Conclusions
Based on four simple, easily accessible, inexpensive and objective factors, the nomogram proposed in the present study exhibited a sufficient ability of discrimination for predicting pCR of NAC in TNBC patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3902 - The efficacy of preoperative breast cancer chemotherapy without anti-HER2-targeted treatment – single center experience in setting of no reimbursement in Poland (2011-2015)
Presenter: Agnieszka Badora-Rybicka
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4733 - A Multicentre, International Neoadjuvant (NA), Randomized, Double-blind Phase III Trial comparing FULVESTRANT to a combination of FULVESTRANT and PALBOCICLIB in patients with operable Luminal Breast Cancer (SAFIA Trial)
Presenter: Jean-Marc Nabholtz
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5227 - Outcome of Non-metastatic Male Breast Cancer: 222 patients
Presenter: Ulku Yalcintas Arslan
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5943 - Effects of delayed initiation of adjuvant trastuzumab for non-metastatic, Her2 positive breast cancer in a limited resources setting: ML25232 study final results
Presenter: Samir Beslija
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1725 - Final results of scalp cooling for hair preservation: A single- institution prospective study.
Presenter: Dario Loparco
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3713 - Adjuvant Systemic Therapy in Women with Early Breast Cancer and Intermediate Prosigna ROR Scores: Is Chemotherapy Use Declining? Evidence From a Large Practice
Presenter: Lowell Hart
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
818 - Management of early breast cancer in women over 90: A 10 year experience
Presenter: Emily Coffey
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1141 - Evolution in the risk of adverse events of adjuvant endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women with early- stage breast cancer.
Presenter: Daniel Reinhorn
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2277 - Hepatitis B screening and incidence of flare among non-metastatic breast cancer patients treated with anthracyclines
Presenter: Zewen Zhang
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2781 - Effect of denosumab on low bone mineral density in postmenopausal Japanese early breast cancer patients receiving aromatase nhibitors : 36-month results
Presenter: Koichi Sakaguchi
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract