Abstract 5104
Background
Adjuvant treatment decisions for pts with eCRC are currently based on suboptimal risk stratification factors, especially for elderly pts. Metabolomics measures multiple cancer-related metabolites with potential to identify new biomarkers in this setting. We have shown that serum metabolomics can discriminate pts with eCRC from pts with metastatic CRC (mCRC). We hypothesized that a metabolomic score derived from pts with mCRC may identify pts with eCRC with an increased risk of relapse. This hypothesis was tested in a cohort of elderly pts with eCRC.
Methods
Serum samples from 103 pts aged ≥70 were collected from four clinical trials with 5 years follow up. These samples were derived from 55 pts with eCRC, and 48 with mCRC. Samples were retrospectively analyzed via proton nuclear magnetic resonance (1H NMR), to assess their metabolomic fingerprints. A Random Forest (RF) classification model was built using a training set of 30 eCRC pts free from relapse at 5 years and all mCRC pts (N = 48). This model was then applied to a validation set constituted by the remaining eCRC pts (10 relapse-free and 15 relapsed). A risk-of-recurrence score was built on the basis of the likelihood of the sample being misclassified as metastatic.
Results
In the eCRC group, 44% (n = 24) received adjuvant chemotherapy, and 27% (n = 15) experienced relapse. In the training set, the RF model discriminated eCRC from mCRC with an accuracy of 74.4%. The RF risk of recurrence score correlated with relapse, with an AUC of 0.754 in ROC analysis. In the training set, by maximizing specificity and sensitivity, a threshold for the RF score was set at 0.55. In the validation set, using this threshold, an AUC of 0.727 in ROC analysis, and a prediction accuracy of 76% (73.3% sensitivity, 80% specificity) were obtained in predicting relapse.
Conclusions
Serum metabolomics performed on post-operative samples of elderly pts with eCRC identifies pts with higher risk of relapse with good accuracy. This may represent a tool to refine risk stratification in this population, to maximize the benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Based on these results, a prospective trial is ongoing (LIquid BIopsy and METabolomics in CRC - LIBIMET).
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Fondazione Sandro Pitigliani per la Lotto Contro i Tumori - ONLUS.
Disclosure
S. Di Donato: Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Amgen; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Lilly; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Roche; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Servier; Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Celgene; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Sanofi; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bayer. E. Mori: Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bayer. L. Malorni: Honoraria (self): AstraZeneca; Advisory / Consultancy: Novartis; Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Janssen; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self): Pfizer; Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Roche. D. Becheri: Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Daiichi-Sankyo; Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bristol-Myers Squibb. A. Di Leo: Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (institution), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: AstraZeneca; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Bayer; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Celgene; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Daiichi-Sankyo; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Eisai; Advisory / Consultancy: Genentech; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Genomic Health; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self): Lilly; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Novartis; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Pfizer; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Pierre Fabre; Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Puma Biotechnology; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Roche. L. Biganzoli: Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Astrazeneca; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Celgene; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Eisai; Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Genomic Health; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Ipsen; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Lilly; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Research grant / Funding (self), Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Novartis; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Pfizer; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Pierre Fabre; Honoraria (self), Advisory / Consultancy, Travel / Accommodation / Expenses: Roche. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
5345 - Short-term Clinical Outcomes of Robotic-Assisted Total Mesorectal Excision in Rectal Cancer after concurrent chemoradiotherapy
Presenter: Pojung Chen
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5489 - Local immune status in cancer cell nests can be a predictor of survival for rectal cancer with neoadjuvant radiotherapy
Presenter: xijin lin
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1653 - Impact of concomitant medications on disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients from the PETACC8 study.
Presenter: Clémence Brun
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5206 - Updated results of NORDIC 8, a randomised trial of cetuximab every 2 weeks with FOLFIRI or cetuximab with alternating FOLFIRI/FOLFOX in patients with RAS and BRAF wild type metastatic colorectal cancer.
Presenter: Per Pfeiffer
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2992 - Clinical impact of mucinous and poorly differentiated tumors on the outcome of patients with stage II colon cancer: a TOSCA subgroup analysis
Presenter: Gerardo Rosati
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4753 - Exercise improved adjuvant treatment completion rates and treatment-related toxicities in colorectal cancer: A prospective pilot study
Presenter: Hong Jun Kim
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2735 - Bevacizumab plus Oxaliplatin-Based Chemotherapy as Adjuvant Treatment for Colon Cancer (CC): Updated analysis of stage II disease from the AVANT Phase III Randomized trial by the GERCOR Group
Presenter: Aimery De Gramont
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1843 - Multicenter Validation of the Postoperative Carcinoembryonic Antigen Combined Prognostic Model for Stage Ⅲ Colon Cancer
Presenter: Ji Zhu
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2554 - Impact of the IDEA study on clinical practice for stage III colon cancer patients: a French GERCOR - FFCD - GI UNICANCER national survey.
Presenter: Kaissa Ouali
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3285 - Sex hormones and sperm parameters after adjuvant oxaliplatin-based treatment for colorectal cancer
Presenter: Philip Falk
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract