Abstract 84P
Background
To modify the tumor burden score (TBS) and to develop a comprehensive and practical prognostic scoring system among Chinese patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).
Methods
787 adult patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for CRLM were identified from Zhongshan Hospital in Shanghai, China between June 2010 and January 2018. Tumor relapse-free survival (RFS) was the main outcomes. TBS was modified with geometric algorithms. The Cox regression model was used to identify independent predictors of prognosis. Time-dependent AUC, calibration curve, and C-index were employed to validate the predictive ability of a survival model.
Results
Modified TBS (mTBS) was established by a mathematical equation (parameters were CRLM size, CRLM number, and unilobar/bilobar metastasis). mTBS model (AUC=0.62 at 33 Month) out-performed TBS model (AUC=0.54 at 33 Month) in predicting RFS (P=.002). Five preoperative predictors of worse RFS were identified and were incorporated into CERR score: KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutated tumor (score 1 point); node-positive primary (1 point); extrahepatic disease (1 point); CEA level >200 ng/ml or CA 19-9 >200 U/mL (1 point); mTBS between 5 and 11 (1 point) or 12 and over (2 points). Patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM were stratified by CERR score into risk groups: high-risk group (CERR score 4 or more) had a 3-year RFS rate of 9.77%; medium-risk group (CERR score 2-3) had a 3-year RFS rate of 21.96%; low-risk group (CERR score 0-1) had a 3-year RFS rate of 39.90%. The CERR score model was further validated using internal bootstrap validation, and the discriminatory capacity of the CERR score was significantly superior to that of the Fong score and that of the Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score.
Conclusions
Modified TBS should be promoted. The CERR score is a powerful prognostic tool that can help to determine the optimal clinical management strategies.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Zhongshan Hospital.
Funding
The National Natural Science Foundation of China.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
437P - Correlation between bio-impedance analysis and abdominal CT scan to diagnose decreased muscle mass in adult cancer patients
Presenter: Andree Kurniawan
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
438P - Evaluating mitochondrial biomarkers between fatigue subclasses identified using latent class analysis in early-stage breast cancer patients
Presenter: Yi Long Toh
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
440P - Accuracy of risk scoring system to determine delayed chemotherapy induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) in cancer patients
Presenter: Jada Harika
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
441P - A pilot cross-sectional study on incidence of liver toxicity in cancer patients on western anti-cancer drug therapy with or without concurrent Chinese herbal medicine
Presenter: Tsz Him So
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
442P - Relationship between QOL and support elderly patients with permanent colostomies
Presenter: Yukiko Orii
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
443P - The effectiveness of individual nutritional counselling for patients with advanced cancer undergoing chemotherapy: A preliminary study
Presenter: Saori Koshimoto
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
444P - The prophylactic effect of 0.1% fluorometholone eye drops on eye disorders caused by high-dose cytarabine
Presenter: Takayuki Tsuchiya
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
445P - Safety and feasibility of extending flushing interval every 3 months for maintenance of TICVPS in CRC patients after completion of curative intended treatments
Presenter: Sang Bo Oh
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
446P - Accuracy of risk scoring system to determine chemotherapy induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) in cancer patients receiving first cycle chemotherapy
Presenter: Jada Harika
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
447P - Hypomagnesaemia: An unnoticed problem in lung cancer patients treated with concurrent chemoradiation
Presenter: Sharif Ahmed
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract