Abstract 84P
Background
To modify the tumor burden score (TBS) and to develop a comprehensive and practical prognostic scoring system among Chinese patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).
Methods
787 adult patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for CRLM were identified from Zhongshan Hospital in Shanghai, China between June 2010 and January 2018. Tumor relapse-free survival (RFS) was the main outcomes. TBS was modified with geometric algorithms. The Cox regression model was used to identify independent predictors of prognosis. Time-dependent AUC, calibration curve, and C-index were employed to validate the predictive ability of a survival model.
Results
Modified TBS (mTBS) was established by a mathematical equation (parameters were CRLM size, CRLM number, and unilobar/bilobar metastasis). mTBS model (AUC=0.62 at 33 Month) out-performed TBS model (AUC=0.54 at 33 Month) in predicting RFS (P=.002). Five preoperative predictors of worse RFS were identified and were incorporated into CERR score: KRAS/NRAS/BRAF mutated tumor (score 1 point); node-positive primary (1 point); extrahepatic disease (1 point); CEA level >200 ng/ml or CA 19-9 >200 U/mL (1 point); mTBS between 5 and 11 (1 point) or 12 and over (2 points). Patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM were stratified by CERR score into risk groups: high-risk group (CERR score 4 or more) had a 3-year RFS rate of 9.77%; medium-risk group (CERR score 2-3) had a 3-year RFS rate of 21.96%; low-risk group (CERR score 0-1) had a 3-year RFS rate of 39.90%. The CERR score model was further validated using internal bootstrap validation, and the discriminatory capacity of the CERR score was significantly superior to that of the Fong score and that of the Genetic and Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score.
Conclusions
Modified TBS should be promoted. The CERR score is a powerful prognostic tool that can help to determine the optimal clinical management strategies.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Zhongshan Hospital.
Funding
The National Natural Science Foundation of China.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
274P - Treatment stratification of non-Hodgkin large B-cell lymphoma patients based on the identification of mutational c-MYC gene
Presenter: Raimkul Karakulov
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
275P - Primary central nervous system lymphoma treated with high-dose methotrexate and rituximab: Preliminary results in Vietnam
Presenter: Gia Nguyen Hoang
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
276P - Chronic myelod leukemia in chronic phase (CML-CP) with lymphadenopathy at diagnosis: A retrospective analysis
Presenter: GEDALA Veni Prasanna
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
277P - Characteristics of BCR-ABL rearrangement variants in Pakistani patients with chronic myeloid leukemia and acute lymphocytic leukemia
Presenter: Zeeshan Ahmed
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
278P - A systematic literature review of the cost-effectiveness of treatments, costs, and resource use in patients with Burkitt lymphoma
Presenter: Gautamjeet Mangat
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
280P - Risk stratification of CML-CP in a real-world scenario, comparison of S.H.E. with rate of fall of BCR/ABL
Presenter: Kundan Mishra
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
281P - Selective depletion of tumour-associated SAMHD1 by HSP90 inhibitors enhances the anti-AML effect of cytarabine
Presenter: Jing Sun
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
282P - Inhibition of miR-144 and miR-199 promote myeloma pathogenesis via upregulation of versican and FAK/STAT3 signaling
Presenter: Nidh Gupta
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
283P - Effect of study-level factors on treatment-free remission rate in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Presenter: Jinhyun Cho
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract
284P - Differences in disease characteristics and survival outcomes of follicular lymphoma in young adults and older population: An institutional analysis
Presenter: Shina Goyal
Session: Poster display session
Resources:
Abstract