Abstract 1156
Background
Decision on adjuvant chemotherapy for early breast cancer can be guided by genomic assays. PREDICT is a validated free online tool that estimates the benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy using clinical and pathological data. The concordance of expected clinical decisions guided by Oncotype analysis and the PREDICT in unknown.
Methods
A retrospective single center cohort study comprising all women with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 negative, node negative disease, whose tumors were sent for OncotypeDX analysis. Estimation of 10-year overall survival (OS) benefit from 2nd generation chemotherapy was calculated using the PREDICT 2.1v tool. Omission of chemotherapy was expected to be advised when Oncotype recurrence score (RS) was ≤25 or when the estimated 10-year OS benefit by the PREDICT was <2%. The tests were considered concordant for women with RS ≤ 25 and estimated PREDICT benefit<2% or for women with RS > 25 and estimated PREDICT benefit ≥2%. Concordance was presented using percentages and the K coefficient. The impact on concordance of pre-specified histological features was assessed, including tumor size, intensity of ER and progesterone receptor (PR), grade, Ki67 and perineural and lymphovascular invasion. The difference between the subgroups was calculated using Chi-squared test.
Results
A total of 445 women were included. Overall concordance was 75% (K = 0.284), with 55 (12.5%) women with low RS but estimated PREDICT benefit ≥2% and 55 (12.5%) with high RS and estimated PREDICT benefit<2%. The concordance was significantly higher for grade 1 disease compared to grade 2-3 (93% vs 72%, p < 0.001), tumor ≤1cm compared to > 1cm (85% vs 72%, p = 0.009), PR positive compared to PR negative (78% vs 58%, p < 0.001) and ki67<20% compared to ≥ 20% (82% vs 54%, p < 0.001). The intensity of ER and the presence of perineural or lymphovascular invasion had no significant impact on concordance.
Conclusions
Compared to PREDICT, using Oncotype in node negative, ER positive disease is expected to change clinical decision in a quarter of patients. The concordance is influenced by pathological features. The use of Oncotype may not be necessary for clinically very low risk patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
H. Goldvaser: Honoraria (self): Roche. R. Yerushalmi: Honoraria (self): Roche; Honoraria (self): Medison; Honoraria (self): AstraZeneca; Honoraria (self): Novartis; Honoraria (self): Teva. M. Sarfaty: Honoraria (self): Roche; Honoraria (self): MSD; Honoraria (self): Medison; Honoraria (self): Novartis. All other authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3082 - Prognostic and predictive role of body mass index (BMI) in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC): a pooled analisys of TRIBE and TRIBE-2 studies by GONO
Presenter: Emanuela Dell'Aquila
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3618 - Drug holidays and overall survival in patients treated for metastatic colorectal cancer
Presenter: Silvio Ken Garattini
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
6111 - Quality of life during 1st-line FOLFOXIRI+/- panitumumab in RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer: Results from the randomized VOLFI trial (AIO KRK-0109)
Presenter: Michael Geissler
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1042 - A biomarker combination indicating resistance to FOLFOX plus bevacizumab in metastastic colorectal cancer : results of phase I of the PERMAD trial
Presenter: Thomas Seufferlein
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3291 - Microsatellite Instability (MSI) status and prognosis in colorectal cancer: meta-analysis
Presenter: James Toh
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2046 - Choosing the right strategy based on individualized treatment effect predictions: Combination versus sequential chemotherapy in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.
Presenter: Miriam Koopman
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2589 - Noninferiority on overall survival of every-2-weeks vs weekly schedule of cetuximab for first-line treatment of RAS wild-type metastatic colorectal cancer
Presenter: Stefan Kasper
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4944 - POLAF study: Efficacy and safety of FOLFIRI/aflibercept in a phase II trial in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: Results of plasmatic prognostic and predictive markers
Presenter: Maria Elena Elez Fernandez
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2042 - The accuracy of the clinical PCI score in patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis of colorectal cancer
Presenter: Nadine De Boer
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2667 - The impact of late-line treatment on overall survival (OS) from the initiation of first-line chemotherapy (CT) for patients (pts) with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).
Presenter: Takeshi Kawakami
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract