Abstract 4304
Background
Despite multimodality treatment, in the Western world > 50% of GC patients relapse following curative-intent surgery and succumb to their disease. The absolute survival benefit of perioperative or adjuvant chemotherapy ranges from 6 to 15% at 5 years and must be balanced against treatment-related toxicities. Reliable tools to risk-stratify patients are lacking. The aim of this study was to build a practical tool to guide daily decision-making and clinical trial design.
Methods
Data of patients undergoing curative-intent surgery for T2-4 and N-positive GC between 2008 and 2018 at the Modena Cancer Centre were retrieved. Clinicopathologic and biochemical parameters deemed of potential interest were collected. The cut-off value for continuos variables was assessed at 75° percentile. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazard models were used to assess the prognostic value of covariates. Based on the multivariate model, a nomogram to predict 2- and 3-year RFS was developed with a corresponding number of points assigned to a given magnitude of the variable.
Results
A total of 157 patients were eligible for the analysis. 51% (n = 80) were female and 88% (n = 139) had an ECOG PS of 0-1. Only 6% of cases were gastroesophageal junction cancers. 13% (n = 20), 25% (n = 40), 62% (n = 97) presented at diagnosis with stage I, II and III, respectively. Adjuvant chemotherapy was administered to 49% of patients. Out of 15 covariates tested, the following were independent predictors of outcome in the multivariate analysis and therefore included in the nomogram: ECOG PS (HR 2.51; p = 0.006), nodal status (HR 3.04; p = 0.078), angioinvasion (HR 2.62; p = 0.005) and logNeutrophil/Lymphocyte ratio (HR 3.50; p < 0.001).
Conclusions
We built an easy-to-use nomogram to estimate 2- and 3-year individual RFS probability in resected GC. Interestingly, this tool incorporates variables reflecting patients characteristics (ECOG PS), tumour aggressiveness (nodal status and angioinvasion) and immune-inflammation status (NLR). This nomogram could assist clinicians in discussing with patients prognosis and the risk-to-benefit ratio of systemic treatment as well as the design of future trials.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Massimiliano Salati.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
1988 - Molecular profiling reveals novel targetable biomarkers in neuroendocrine carcinoma of the uterine cervix
Presenter: Semir Vranic
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2672 - Changes in clinico-pathological characteristics of vulvar cancer in Japan: increasing oldest-old, stage-shifting, and decreasing cohort-level survival
Presenter: Shin Nishio
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4306 - Tumor Treating Fields (200 kHz) concomitant with weekly paclitaxel for platinum-resistant ovarian cancer: Phase 3 INNOVATE-3/ENGOT-ov50 study
Presenter: Ignace Vergote
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5136 - Randomized, phase 1b/2 study of M6620 + avelumab + carboplatin vs standard care (sc) in patients (pts) with platinum-sensitive poly (ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor-(PARPi)-resistant ovarian cancer
Presenter: Susana Banerjee
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2296 - An umbrella study of biomarker-driven targeted therapy in patients with platinum-resistant recurrent ovarian cancer: A Korean Gynecologic Oncology Group study (KGOG 3045), AMBITION
Presenter: Jung-Yun Lee
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2732 - A phase 2 study of pembrolizumab in combination with doxorubicin in advanced, recurrent or metastatic endometrial cancer
Presenter: Ana Oaknin
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4404 - ENGOT-EN9/LEAP-001: a phase 3, randomized, open-label study of pembrolizumab plus lenvatinib versus chemotherapy for first-line treatment of advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer
Presenter: Christian Marth
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4564 - Phase 1/2 trial of tisotumab vedotin plus bevacizumab, pembrolizumab, or carboplatin in recurrent or metastatic cervical cancer (innovaTV 205/ENGOT-cx8)
Presenter: Ignace Vergote
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4933 - Updated data of Epitopes-HPV02 trial and external validation of efficacy of DCF in prospective Epitopes-HPV01 study in advanced anal squamous cell carcinoma. Pooled analysis of 115 patients
Presenter: Stefano Kim
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2301 - Pre-specified pilot analysis of a randomised pilot/phase II/III trial comparing standard dose vs dose-escalated concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in anal cancer (PLATO-ACT5)
Presenter: Alexandra Gilbert
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract