Abstract 1580
Background
Brain metastases (BMs) account for a relatively large proportion of patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) both at the time of diagnosis and during the course of disease, which is a major cause leading to a significant increase in cancer-related mortality for NSCLC patients. We aimed to build a novel risk classification system to predict overall survival (OS) of patients presenting with BMs at the first diagnosis of NSCLC.
Methods
Data on NSCLC patients with BMs was extracted from the SEER database between 2010 and 2013. All cases were randomly divided into the training cohort and validation cohort (7:3). Cox regression was performed to select the independent predictors of OS. A nomogram was established for predicting 6-, 12- and 18-month OS. The prognostic performance of nomogram was evaluated using concordance indexes (C-indexes), calibration curves, and decision curve analyses (DCAs). All statistical analysis was performed with R software.
Results
According to the multivariate Cox regression of the training set, the following variables were contained in the nomogram prognostic model: age, marital status, sex, race, primary site, histological type, T stage, N stage, metastatic pattern, whether received radiotherapy and chemotherapy. The nomogram displayed good accuracy in predicting 6, 12 and 18 months OS. The C-indexes of training set and validation set were 0.729 and 0.723, respectively. The calibration curves showed excellent consistency between the actual results and the nomogram prediction, and the DCAs exhibited great clinical utility of the model. A new risk classification system based on nomogram scores was introduced to classify NSCLC patients with BMs into three subgroups. In the training cohort, the median OS of patients in the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups was 11.0 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 10.3–11.7), 5.0 months (95% CI 4.6–5.4), and 2.0 months (95% CI 1.9–2.1), respectively.
Conclusions
We established a risk stratification system based on nomogram scores to predict the OS of patients presenting with BMs at initial diagnosis of NSCLC. These predictive models can act as auxiliary tools to guide treatment strategies and prognostic evaluation.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
The authors.
Funding
Has not received any funding.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
5103 - CANOPY phase 3 program: Three studies evaluating canakinumab in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC)
Presenter: Luis Paz-Ares
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
3666 - The Elderly Patient Individualized Chemotherapy (EPIC) trial, a study for an aged population of non-small cell lung cancer.
Presenter: Francesco Passiglia
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
4799 - KEYNOTE-495/KeyImPaCT: A Randomized, Biomarker-Directed, Phase 2 Trial of Pembrolizumab-Based Therapy for Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)
Presenter: Martin Gutierrez
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
6035 - Safety, tolerability and activity of autologous T cells with enhanced T-cell receptors specific to NY ESO 1/LAGE 1a (GSK3377794) alone, or in combination with pembrolizumab, in advanced non small cell lung cancer: A Phase 1b/2a randomised pilot study
Presenter: Karen Reckamp
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
2176 - IFCT-1701 DICIPLE: a randomized phase 3 trial comparing continuation Nivolumab-Ipilimumab doublet immunotherapy until progression versus observation in patients with PDL1-positive stage IV Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) after Nivolumab-Ipilimumab induction treatment
Presenter: Gerard Zalcman
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
2352 - ATALANTE-1 randomized phase 3 trial, OSE-2101 versus standard treatment as second or third line in HLA-A2 positive advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients
Presenter: Enriqueta Felip
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
2451 - Phase Ib dose-escalation/expansion study of BI 836880, a VEGF/Ang2-blocking nanobody®, in combination with BI 754091, an anti-PD-1 antibody, in patients with advanced solid tumours
Presenter: Nicolas Girard
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
4285 - Radiosurgery followed by Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) for brain metastases (1-10) from NSCLC in the phase 3 METIS trial
Presenter: Minesh Mehta
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
4909 - Nivolumab plus ipilimumab (NI) versus chemotherapy plus nivolumab (CN) in squamous cell lung cancer (SqCLC): the SQUINT trial
Presenter: Lorenza Landi
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract
4125 - DUBLIN-3, a Stage IIIb/IV NSCLC Phase (Ph)3 Trial Comparing the Plinabulin (P)/Docetaxel(D) Combination with D Alone
Presenter: Ramon Mohanlal
Session: Poster Display session 1
Resources:
Abstract