Abstract 1733
Background
More than half of early breast cancer recurrences occur after 5 years from the initial diagnosis. An individualized estimate of the risk of late-period breast cancer-specific death (LP-BCSD) after 5 years of endocrine therapy (ET) can improve decision-making for extended endocrine therapy (EET).
Methods
A total of 147,059 eligible patients with breast cancer who survived 5+ years after diagnosis between 1990 and 2007 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate and multivariate analyses based on the competing risk regression model were used to evaluate predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD. Significant factors were used to build a nomogram to individualize estimates of LP-BCSD or LP-non-BCSD.
Results
The 5- and 10-year LP-BCSD rates were 5.67% and 10.06%, respectively, and the 5- and 10-year LP-non-BCSD rates were 6.72% and 15.50%, respectively. Young age, black race, single marital status, poor differentiation, large tumor size, lymph node metastasis, and ER+/PR- status were independent predictive factors for high risk of LP-BCSD. Age was the most important factor for predicting high risk of LP-non-BCSD. The nomograms, which were based on significant factors identified by the competing risk regression model. A risk score system based on the competing risk nomogram was established to describe the relative risk of LP-BCSD and LP-non-BCSD.
Conclusions
This study explored the novel endpoint of LP-BCSD for further clinical trials. The risk score system is highly useful for patient counseling, especially in discussing EET options with elderly or comorbid patients.
Clinical trial identification
Editorial acknowledgement
Legal entity responsible for the study
Jianfei Fu.
Funding
Science & Technology Division of Jinhua Zhejiang Province.
Disclosure
All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.
Resources from the same session
3902 - The efficacy of preoperative breast cancer chemotherapy without anti-HER2-targeted treatment – single center experience in setting of no reimbursement in Poland (2011-2015)
Presenter: Agnieszka Badora-Rybicka
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
4733 - A Multicentre, International Neoadjuvant (NA), Randomized, Double-blind Phase III Trial comparing FULVESTRANT to a combination of FULVESTRANT and PALBOCICLIB in patients with operable Luminal Breast Cancer (SAFIA Trial)
Presenter: Jean-Marc Nabholtz
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5227 - Outcome of Non-metastatic Male Breast Cancer: 222 patients
Presenter: Ulku Yalcintas Arslan
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
5943 - Effects of delayed initiation of adjuvant trastuzumab for non-metastatic, Her2 positive breast cancer in a limited resources setting: ML25232 study final results
Presenter: Samir Beslija
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1725 - Final results of scalp cooling for hair preservation: A single- institution prospective study.
Presenter: Dario Loparco
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
3713 - Adjuvant Systemic Therapy in Women with Early Breast Cancer and Intermediate Prosigna ROR Scores: Is Chemotherapy Use Declining? Evidence From a Large Practice
Presenter: Lowell Hart
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
818 - Management of early breast cancer in women over 90: A 10 year experience
Presenter: Emily Coffey
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
1141 - Evolution in the risk of adverse events of adjuvant endocrine therapy in postmenopausal women with early- stage breast cancer.
Presenter: Daniel Reinhorn
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2277 - Hepatitis B screening and incidence of flare among non-metastatic breast cancer patients treated with anthracyclines
Presenter: Zewen Zhang
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract
2781 - Effect of denosumab on low bone mineral density in postmenopausal Japanese early breast cancer patients receiving aromatase nhibitors : 36-month results
Presenter: Koichi Sakaguchi
Session: Poster Display session 2
Resources:
Abstract